LLM Validation Experiment Results

You are analyzing respondent #1 from a political survey. Based on their responses below, predict their positions on 3 crime-related questions. DEMOGRAPHICS: - Gender: Woman - Age in years: -3 - Education: Some college - Race/ethnicity: White NH POLICY POSITIONS: - Party identity importance (1=extremely, 4=not at all) Scale: 1 Extremely important; 2 Very important; 3 Moderately important; 4 A little important; 5 Not at all important Response: 5 - Trust government in Washington (1=always, 5=never) Scale: 1 Always; 2 Most of the time; 3 About half the time; 4 Some of the time; 5 Never Response: 3 - Trust court system (1=always, 5=never) Scale: 1 Always; 2 Most of the time; 3 About half the time; 4 Some of the time; 5 Never Response: 3 - Gov run by few big interests or benefit of all (1=few interests, 2=benefit all) Scale: 1 Run by a few big interests; 2 For the benefit of all the people Response: 1 - Does government waste much tax money (1=waste lot, 4=don't waste much) Scale: 1 Waste a lot; 2 Waste some; 3 Don’t waste very much Response: 2 - How often can people be trusted (1=always, 5=never) Scale: 1 Always; 2 Most of the time; 3 About half the time; 4 Some of the time; 5 Never Response: 2 - Gov services/spending 7pt (1=fewer services, 7=more services) Scale: 1 Government should provide many fewer services; 2–6 Intermediate positions on the scale; 7 Government should provide many more services; 99 Haven’t thought much about this Response: 4 - Health insurance 7pt (1=gov plan, 7=private) Scale: 1 Government insurance plan; 2–6 Intermediate positions on the scale; 7 Private insurance plan; 99 Haven’t thought much about this Response: 6 - Abortion 7pt (1=always permit, 7=never permit) Scale: 1 Abortion should always be permitted without restrictions; 2–6 Intermediate positions on the scale; 7 Abortion should never be permitted; 99 Haven’t thought much about this Response: 5 - Guaranteed job/income 7pt (1=gov should, 7=people on own) Scale: 1 Government should see to jobs and standard of living; 2–6 Intermediate positions on the scale; 7 Government should let each person get ahead on own; 99 Haven’t thought much about this Response: 6 - Gov assistance to Blacks 7pt (1=help, 7=no special help) Scale: 1 Government should help blacks; 2–6 Intermediate positions on the scale; 7 Blacks should help themselves; 99 Haven’t thought much about this Response: 4 - Environment-business tradeoff 7pt (1=protect env, 7=business priority) Scale: 1 Tougher regulations on business needed to protect environment; 2–6 Intermediate positions on the scale; 7 Regulations to protect environment already too much a burden on business; 99 Haven’t thought much about this Response: 2 - Federal budget spending: Social Security Scale: 1 Increased a lot; 2 Increased a little; 3 Kept the same; 4 Decreased a little; 5 Decreased a lot Response: 3 - Federal budget spending: public schools Scale: 1 Increased a lot; 2 Increased a little; 3 Kept the same; 4 Decreased a little; 5 Decreased a lot Response: 3 - Federal budget spending: tightening border security Scale: 1 Increased a lot; 2 Increased a little; 3 Kept the same; 4 Decreased a little; 5 Decreased a lot Response: 2 - Federal budget spending: highways Scale: 1 Increased a lot; 2 Increased a little; 3 Kept the same; 4 Decreased a little; 5 Decreased a lot Response: 3 - Federal budget spending: aid to the poor Scale: 1 Increased a lot; 2 Increased a little; 3 Kept the same; 4 Decreased a little; 5 Decreased a lot Response: 3 - Federal budget spending: protecting the environment Scale: 1 Increased a lot; 2 Increased a little; 3 Kept the same; 4 Decreased a little; 5 Decreased a lot Response: 2 - Approve/disapprove how colleges and universities are run Scale: 1 Approve very strongly; 2 Approve somewhat strongly; 3 Approve not very strongly; 4 Neither approve nor disapprove; 5 Disapprove not very strongly; 6 Disapprove somewhat strongly; 7 Disapprove strongly Response: 6 - Approve/disapprove DEI (diversity, equity, inclusion) Scale: 1 Favor a great deal; 2 Favor a moderate amount; 3 Favor a little; 4 Neither favor nor oppose; 5 Oppose a little; 6 Oppose a moderate amount; 7 Oppose a great deal Response: 4 - Country better off if we just stayed home Scale: 1 Agree strongly; 2 Agree somewhat; 3 Disagree somewhat; 4 Disagree strongly Response: 4 - Use force to solve international problems (1=extremely willing, 7=extremely unwilling) Scale: 1 Extremely willing; 2 Very willing; 3 Moderately willing; 4 A little willing; 5 Not at all willing Response: 4 - Favor/oppose requiring ID when voting Scale: 1 Favor a great deal; 2 Favor moderately; 3 Favor a little; 4 Neither favor nor oppose; 5 Oppose a little; 6 Oppose moderately; 7 Oppose a great deal Response: 1 - Favor/oppose allowing felons to vote Scale: 1 Favor a great deal; 2 Favor moderately; 3 Favor a little; 4 Neither favor nor oppose; 5 Oppose a little; 6 Oppose moderately; 7 Oppose a great deal Response: 4 - Helpful/harmful if president didn't have to worry about Congress/courts Scale: 1 Extremely helpful; 2 Moderately helpful; 3 A little helpful; 4 Neither helpful nor harmful; 5 A little harmful; 6 Moderately harmful; 7 Extremely harmful Response: 6 - How much trust in news media (1=great deal, 5=none) Scale: 1 None; 2 A little; 3 A moderate amount; 4 A lot; 5 A great deal Response: 2 - Likelihood sexual harassment would keep you from voting for candidate (1=extremely, 5=not at all) Scale: 1 Extremely likely; 2 Very likely; 3 Moderately likely; 4 Slightly likely; 5 Not likely at all Response: 2 - How much larger is income gap today Scale: 1 Much larger; 2 Somewhat larger; 3 About the same; 4 Somewhat smaller; 5 Much smaller Response: 3 - Government action about rising temperatures Scale: 1 Should be doing a great deal more; 2 Should be doing a moderate amount more; 3 Should be doing a little more; 4 Currently doing the right amount; 5 Should be doing a little less; 6 Should be doing a moderate amount less; 7 Should be doing a great deal less Response: 2 - Require employers to offer paid leave to parents Scale: 1 Favor a great deal; 2 Favor moderately; 3 Favor a little; 4 Neither favor nor oppose; 5 Oppose a little; 6 Oppose moderately; 7 Oppose a great deal Response: 5 - Approve/disapprove transgender bathroom use matching identity Scale: 1 Favor a great deal; 2 Favor a moderate amount; 3 Favor a little; 4 Neither favor nor oppose; 5 Oppose a little; 6 Oppose a moderate amount; 7 Oppose a great deal Response: 4 - Favor/oppose banning transgender girls from K-12 girls sports Scale: 1 Favor a great deal; 2 Favor a moderate amount; 3 Favor a little; 4 Neither favor nor oppose; 5 Oppose a little; 6 Oppose a moderate amount; 7 Oppose a great deal Response: 4 - Favor/oppose laws protecting gays/lesbians from job discrimination Scale: 1 Favor strongly; 2 Favor not strongly; 3 Oppose not strongly; 4 Oppose strongly Response: 4 - Should gay/lesbian couples be allowed to adopt children Scale: 1 Feels very strongly should be permitted to adopt; 2 Feels somewhat strongly should be permitted to adopt; 3 Feels not strongly should be permitted to adopt; 4 Feels not strongly should not be permitted to adopt; 5 Feels somewhat strongly should not be permitted to adopt; 6 Feels very strongly should not be permitted to adopt Response: 1 - Right of gay/lesbian couples to legally marry Scale: 1 Favor a great deal; 2 Favor a moderate amount; 3 Favor a little; 4 Neither favor nor oppose; 5 Oppose a little; 6 Oppose a moderate amount; 7 Oppose a great deal Response: 1 - Policy toward unauthorized immigrants (1=felony/deport, 5=no penalty) Scale: 1 Make all unauthorized immigrants felons and send them back; 2 Guest worker program (remain to work for limited time); 3 Allow remain & qualify for citizenship if meet certain requirements; 4 Allow remain & qualify for citizenship without penalties Response: 3 - Favor/oppose ending birthright citizenship Scale: 1 Favor a great deal; 2 Favor moderately; 3 Favor a little; 4 Neither favor nor oppose; 5 Oppose a little; 6 Oppose moderately; 7 Oppose a great deal Response: 2 - Children brought illegally: send back or allow to stay Scale: 1 Great deal sent back; 2 Moderate amount sent back; 3 A little sent back; 4 A little allowed to live & work in US; 5 Moderate amount allowed; 6 Great deal allowed Response: 5 - Favor/oppose building wall on border with Mexico Scale: 1 Favor a great deal; 2 Favor moderately; 3 Favor a little; 4 Neither favor nor oppose; 5 Oppose a little; 6 Oppose moderately; 7 Oppose a great deal Response: 4 - How important to speak English in US (1=extremely, 5=not at all) Scale: 1 Very important; 2 Somewhat important; 3 Not very important; 4 Not at all important Response: 2 - Favor/oppose US giving weapons to help Ukraine fight Russia Scale: 1 Favor a great deal; 2 Favor moderately; 3 Favor a little; 4 Neither favor nor oppose; 5 Oppose a little; 6 Oppose moderately; 7 Oppose a great deal Response: 2 - Favor/oppose US giving military assistance to Israel Scale: 1 Favor a great deal; 2 Favor moderately; 3 Favor a little; 4 Neither favor nor oppose; 5 Oppose a little; 6 Oppose moderately; 7 Oppose a great deal Response: 4 - Favor/oppose US giving humanitarian aid to Palestinians Scale: 1 Favor a great deal; 2 Favor moderately; 3 Favor a little; 4 Neither favor nor oppose; 5 Oppose a little; 6 Oppose moderately; 7 Oppose a great deal Response: 4 - Side more with Israelis or Palestinians Scale: 1 Side a lot with Israelis; 2 Side a moderate amount with Israelis; 3 Side a little with Israelis; 4 Side with both equally; 5 Side a little with Palestinians; 6 Side a moderate amount with Palestinians; 7 Side a lot with Palestinians; 8 Side with neither Response: 4 - Approve/disapprove of protests against war in Gaza Scale: 1 Approve a lot of protests; 2 Approve a moderate amount of protests; 3 Approve a little of protests; 4 Neither approve nor disapprove of protests; 5 Disapprove a little of protests; 6 Disapprove a moderate amount of protests; 7 Disapprove a lot of protests Response: 4 Based on the above, predict this person's responses to these 3 crime questions: 1. Urban unrest: Best way to deal with urban unrest and rioting? Scale: 1 Solve problems of racism and police violence; 2-6 Intermediate; 7 Use all available force to maintain law and order 2. Death penalty: Do you favor or oppose the death penalty for persons convicted of murder? Scale: 1 Favor strongly; 2 Favor not strongly; 3 Oppose not strongly; 4 Oppose strongly 3. Crime spending: Should federal spending on dealing with crime be increased, decreased, or kept the same? Scale: 1 Increased a lot; 2 Increased a little; 3 Kept the same; 4 Decreased a little; 5 Decreased a lot Respond with ONLY a JSON object: {"urban_unrest": X, "death_penalty": Y, "crime_spending": Z} where X, Y, Z are integers on the scales indicated above.